PRLog (Press Release) – Jul 17, 2011 – The new Singapore Power Report from BMI forecasts that the country's power consumption will rise from 41.2TWh in 2010 to 59.1TWh by the end of the forecast period, representing average annual growth of 3.7% in 2011-2020. After power industry usage and system losses, we see a supply surplus rising from the estimated 4.2TWh level seen in 2010 to 6.3TWh by 2020, assuming 3.7% average annual growth in power generation during the period.
Singapore power generation in 2010 is put by BMI at 45.4TWh, having risen more than 8% from the 2009 level of 41.8TWh. BMI is forecasting an average 4.3% annual increase to 56.0TWh between 2011 and 2015. All power supply will continue to be thermal, with the exception of a possible small contribution from renewables towards the end of the forecast period.
We expect gas-fired power generation to climb 5.2% a year between 2011 and 2015, with an average annual growth rate of 4.4% forecast to 2020. Gas-fired generation should therefore reach 47.6TWh by 2015 and almost 57.0TWh by 2020. The share of total power generation should therefore increase from 81.5% to 86.9% by the end of the forecast period. GMR International, the new owner of Island Power in Singapore, hopes to see IP's gas-fired power plant up and running by 2013.
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China Huaneng-owned Tuas Power (TP) expects to decide 'sometime this year' whether it will embark on Phase 2 of its US$2bn clean coal/ biomass multi-utilities facility on Jurong Island, according to TP's president and chief executive Lim Kong Puay. The power plant will serve the energy-intensive industrial sector at Jurong Island. The plant will be a multi-utilities complex, which means that it will also have capacity to be a desalination plant and waste water treatment facility. According to the press statement, fuel for the plant will consist of coal and biomass at an energy ratio of 80:20.
Singapore now holds 14th position behind Sri Lanka in BMI's updated Power Business Environment rating, thanks to its modest installed capacity and generation, and a high level of import dependency. Country risk factors generally offset some of the industry weakness, but the country is in a weak position to pull further away from the foot of the table.
Report Table of Contents:
SWOT Analysis - Singapore Power SWOT Global Industry Overview - Table: Total Genera helicop ter technology tion Data And Forecasts, 2007-2015 (TWh) - Ta trash bins ble: Total Consumption Data And Forecasts, 2007-2015 (TWh) - Table: Total Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts, 2007-2015 (MW) Regional Industry Overview - Table: Total Generation Data And Forecasts, 2007-2015 (TWh) - Table: Total Consumption Data And Forecasts, 2007-2015 (TWh) - Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts, 2007-2015 (MW) - Table: Nuclear Power In Asia Industry Forecast Scenario - Table: Singapore Total Generation Data - Table: Singapore Total Generation Data - Table: Singapore Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses Data - Table: Singapore Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses Data - T Kenmore Bisque 15 inchi able: Singapore Trade Data - Table: Singapore Trade Data - Table: Singapore Total Consumption Data - Table: Singapore Total Consumption Data - Table: Singapore Consumption by Energy Sector Data - Table: Singapore Consumption by Energy Sector Data - Table: Singapore Electricity Generating Capacity Data - Table: Singapore Electricity Generating Capacity Data - Singapore Power Outlook - Generation - Gas-fired - Oil-fired - Coal-fired - Nuclear Energy - Hydro-electric - Renewable Energy - Transmission - Key Risks To BMI's Forecast Scenario Competitive Landscape - Executive Summary - Singapore Power - Tuas Power - Senoko - Power Seraya - PowerGrid/PowerAssets - GMR/Island Power Company Monitor - Singapore Power BMI Forecast Modelling - How rc helicopter market place We Generate Our Industry Forecasts - Power Industry - Cross Checks - Sources
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